Analysts have been trying forever to accurately project how several thousand ballplayers are going to perform each year. Elaborate systems have been designed to manipulate the minutia with amazing precision, yet come October, we still hear the ritual cries of "pitching is a crapshoot!" and "it's all luck!"
The reason analysts complain about the lack of predictability is that they are trying to project performance using gauges that are loaded with external noise. But many of the challenges we face in this effort can be overcome by taking a more "components-based approach" to player analysis.
That's what we do here at BaseballHQ.com. We break performance down into its component parts and reassemble those base skills into more projectable entities. Then we apply the process to win fantasy baseball leagues. And the best part -- it's simple, logical and intuitive. The credo is simple: Draft skills, not stats.
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Analysts have been trying forever to accurately project how several thousand ballplayers are going to perform each year. Elaborate systems have been designed to manipulate the minutia with amazing precision, yet come October, we still hear the ritual cries of "pitching is a crapshoot!" and "it's all luck!"
The reason analysts complain about the lack of predictability is that they are trying to project performance using gauges that are loaded with external noise. But many of the challenges we face in this effort can be overcome by taking a more "components-based approach" to player analysis.
That's what we do here at BaseballHQ.com. We break performance down into its component parts and reassemble those base skills into more projectable entities. Then we apply the process to win fantasy baseball leagues. And the best part -- it's simple, logical and intuitive. The credo is simple: Draft skills, not stats.
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Analysts have been trying forever to accurately project how several thousand ballplayers are going to perform each year. Elaborate systems have been designed to manipulate the minutia with amazing precision, yet come October, we still hear the ritual cries of "pitching is a crapshoot!" and "it's all luck!"
The reason analysts complain about the lack of predictability is that they are trying to project performance using gauges that are loaded with external noise. But many of the challenges we face in this effort can be overcome by taking a more "components-based approach" to player analysis.
That's what we do here at BaseballHQ.com. We break performance down into its component parts and reassemble those base skills into more projectable entities. Then we apply the process to win fantasy baseball leagues. And the best part -- it's simple, logical and intuitive. The credo is simple: Draft skills, not stats.
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